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> Open models are going to win long-term.

[1 of 3] For the sake of argument here, I'll grant the premise. If this turns out to be true, it glosses over other key questions, including:

For a frontier lab, what is a rational period of time (according to your organizational mission / charter / shareholder motivations*) to wait before:

1. releasing a new version of an open-weight model; and

2. how much secret sauce do you hold back?

* Take your pick. These don't align perfectly with each other, much less the interests of a nation or world.



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